NOTE: "combined margin" refers to the sum of the margin of victory for the team reqired to win and the margin of defeat for the team required to lose in a particular scenario.
*Indicates other scenarios possible in the event of a tie on GD with GF being the next tiebreaker. Placement for teams tied on both GD and GF are determined by head to head result (if not drawn) followed by drawing of lots.
Teams listed in order of current standing (points, goal difference, and goals for in parenthesis)
GROUP A (9.00am ct)
Mexico - Uruguay
France - South Africa
The final matches in group A probably provide the least excitement of the groups. Uruguay and Mexico are clearly in the driver's seat and both should go through if their match is close. South Africa or France will need a somewhat big victory combined with a somewhat big defeat by Uruguay and Mexico. Uruguay are basically fighting to avoid Argentina in the Round of 16.
Uruguay (4, +3, 3)
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Advances to the next round with...
Any WIN or DRAW OR
Any DRAW bteween RSA and FRA OR
LOSS with RSA win with a combined margin of less than 6* OR
LOSS with FRA win with a combnied margin of less than 5*
Wins Group A with...
ANY WIN or DRAW
Mexico (4, +2, 3)
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Advances to the next round with...
Any WIN or DRAW OR
Any DRAW bteween RSA and FRA OR
LOSS with RSA win with a combined margin of less than 5* OR
LOSS with FRA win with a combnied margin of less than 4*
Wins Group A with...
ANY WIN
France (1, -2, 0)
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Advances to the next round with...
WIN and MEX loss with a combined margin of more than 4* OR
WIN and URU loss with a combined margin of more than 5*
South Africa (1, -3, 1)
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Advances to the next round with...
WIN and MEX loss with a combined margin of more than 5* OR
WIN and URU loss with a combined margin of more than 6*
GROUP B (1.00pm ct)
Nigeria - South Korea
Greece - Argentina
It looks pretty good for Argentina to win Group B, only a large defeat will keep them from winning the group. But an exciting battle for the second spot between South Korea and Greece, though the teams will be playing in different matches. South Korea have a slight edge with an extra goal scored (teams being tied on points and goal difference), plus they get to face the currently pointless Nigeria. Still Nigeria have a shot to get in as they've kept their matches close and would emerge with the best goal difference if Greece should lose as well, creating a 3 way tie for 2nd place.
Argentina (6, +4, 5)
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Advances to the next round with...
ANY WIN or DRAW OR
ANY NGA win, or NGA DRAW with KOR OR
LOSS by a margin of 2 goals or fewer OR
LOSS and KOR WIN with a combined margin of less than 5*
Wins Group B with...
ANY WIN OR DRAW OR
LOSS by a margin of 2 goals or fewer WITH NGA win or draw with KOR OR
LOSS by a margin of 2 goals or fewer WITH KOR win over NIG with a combined margin of less than 5*
South Korea (3, -1, 3)
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Advances to the next round with...
WIN with ARG win or draw with GRE OR
WIN with GRE victory over ARG with KOR having a greater margin of victory than GRE (or same margin of victory with KOR scoring the same or greater number of goals than GRE)* OR
WIN with ARG loss to GRE with a combined margin of greater than 5*
DRAW with NGA with ARG win over GRE oR
DRAW with NGA with ARG draw with GRE with KOR scoring the greater number of goals as GRE)*
Wins Group B with...
WIN by margin of 3 goals or more with GRE win over ARG with combined margin greater than 5* with KOR having a margin of victory greater over NGA than GRE over ARG (or an equal margin of victory with KOR scoring the same or greater number of goals as GRE)*
Greece (3, -1, 2)
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Advances to the next round with...
WIN with NGA WIN or DRAW with KOR OR
WIN by a marign of 3 goals more over ARG with KOR win OR
WIN with KOR win with GRE having a greater margin of victory (or the same margin of victory with GRE scoring 2 more goals than KOR)*
DRAW with KOR loss to NGA
DRAW with KOR draw with NGA with GRE scoring 2 more goals than KOR*
Wins Group B with...
WIN by a margin of 3 goals or more with NGA WIN or DRAW with KOR OR
WIN by a margin of 3 goals or more with KOR WIN with GRE having a greater margin of victory (or the same margin of victory with GRE scoring 2 more goals than KOR)*
Nigeria (0, -2, 1)
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Advances to the next round with...
WIN with GRE loss to ARG
These scenarios take into account the first tiebreaker goal difference and in some instances the second tiebreaker goals scored. If you believe there is anything incorrect leave comments :).
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